Trafigura signs a binding EnergyX lithium offtake agreement lasting ten years covering 100,000 tonnes in total from Chile and U.S. projects. Also in this edition: Codelco provides an October 11…

Geopolitical Mining Daily for October 13, 2026, led by Trafigura’s binding EnergyX lithium offtake for Chile and U.S. projects.
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Geopolitical Mining Daily · October 13, 2026

Signals in Motion

Trafigura Signs EnergyX Lithium Offtake for Chile and U.S. Projects

Geopolitical Mining Daily gives senior executives, investors and policymakers a concise record of verified developments in mining, critical minerals and strategic supply chains.

The EnergyX lithium offtake leads today's record of purchase commitments, project rights, development activity and financing risks, alongside a weekend safety update from El Teniente.

By Marta Rivera Muñoz and Eduardo Zamanillo
Developments announced , with a material weekend update from .

This edition follows agreements connecting future mineral supply with buyers, alongside an award for historic tailings in Peru, a development restart in Ethiopia and a financing setback in Europe. It also includes Codelco’s October 11 safety update from El Teniente.

The GM observation framework

The ten Signals

Each Daily uses the same ten strategic lenses. The highlighted dimensions classify the developments in this edition.

Active today · 01 · 02 · 03 · 05 · 07 · 09 · 10 Read the full framework →
01
Structural Demand and Supply AlignmentActive today · Developments 01 and 03
02
Profitability, Capital and the Financial GapActive today · Developments 01 and 06
03
Regulatory Execution and ESG OutcomesActive today · Developments 04 and 06
04
Talent and Skills
05
Reputation and Social LegitimacyActive today · Developments 02, 04 and 05
06
Technology Integration and Innovation Depth
07
Geopolitical Concentration and Value Chain ControlActive today · Developments 01 and 03
08
Illegal Mining and System Vulnerability
09
State Activation and Execution CapacityActive today · Developments 04, 05 and 06
10
Industrialisation and Midstream DeliveryActive today · Developments 01, 03 and 04
01

Lead development

Signal 07Geopolitical Concentration and Value Chain Control

Chile / United States · Lithium · Trafigura Signs EnergyX Offtake Agreement

Chile and Texas, United StatesLithium and battery supply chainsBinding offtake signed

What happened

Trafigura and EnergyX announced a binding agreement on October 12 covering 100,000 tonnes of lithium products for batteries over ten years. The contract covers lithium carbonate from Black Giant in Antofagasta, Chile, and lithium hydroxide from Lonestar in Texas.

Under the agreement, Trafigura will purchase 66% of Black Giant's Phase 1 offtake and 30% of Lonestar's. The trader expects a significant share of the volumes to serve the U.S. battery supply chain. EnergyX targets commercial production in 2028 in Chile and 2029 in Texas.

EnergyX said deliveries depend on product qualification and facility commissioning. The purchase commitment supports the financing case for both projects as EnergyX pursues funding for commercial development.

02

Worker safety

Signal 05Reputation and Social Legitimacy

Chile · Copper · Two Workers Die in Avalanche at El Teniente

El Teniente, ChileCopper operationsOctober 11 update

What happened

Codelco confirmed on October 11 that two workers from subcontractor San Lorenzo had died following a snow avalanche at El Teniente’s open pit operation. San Lorenzo provides services to contractor Aura.

The workers were inspecting parts of the open pit, where operations were already stopped due to bad weather, according to Codelco.

The company said investigative police and prosecutors were at the site to establish the circumstances. Its statement did not quantify an impact on copper production or announce a shutdown of the entire mine.

03

Rare earth sales agreement

Signal 07Geopolitical Concentration and Value Chain Control

Australia · Rare Earths · Arafura Signs Binding Offtake for 850 Tonnes a Year

Northern Territory, AustraliaRare earth oxidesBinding offtake signed

What happened

Arafura Rare Earths announced on October 12 that it had signed a binding offtake agreement covering 850 tonnes a year of neodymium and praseodymium oxide from Nolans at nameplate production. This increases the volume in its May term sheet by 70%, from 500 tonnes a year.

The agreement also covers associated heavy rare earths. It runs for five years, with an option to extend for two more by mutual agreement. Pricing will be in U.S. dollars and linked to a global seaborne index.

Arafura did not name the global trader in the announcement. The contract expands sales coverage for the project, while customary conditions still apply.

04

Mineral rights and remediation

Signal 03Regulatory Execution and ESG Outcomes

Peru · Polymetallic Tailings · Cerro de Pasco Wins Quiulacocha Auction

Pasco, PeruTailings reprocessingAuction award granted

What happened

Cerro de Pasco Resources reported on October 12 that Peru's state mining remediation company, AMSAC, had awarded its local subsidiary the auction for the Quiulacocha tailings and associated surface rights. AMSAC granted the award that day.

Once definitive agreements are executed, the company expects to combine these rights with its El Metalurgista concession to advance the reprocessing project. The transaction links potential mineral recovery with the management of historic mining waste.

Meanwhile, technical work continues toward a maiden mineral resource estimate and feasibility studies. The release disclosed no purchase price or construction decision.

05

Development and community conditions

Signal 05Reputation and Social Legitimacy

Ethiopia · Gold · KEFI Restarts Tulu Kapi Development

Tulu Kapi, EthiopiaGold project developmentPhased restart announced

What happened

KEFI Gold and Copper announced on October 12 that development was restarting at Tulu Kapi following consultations with community representatives and Ethiopian and Oromia authorities. KEFI had suspended work on September 7 after the fatal Genji security incident on September 4.

The phased return begins with electricity infrastructure and access roads. Replacement housing and land for resettled residents will follow, enabling security works, earthworks for the processing plant and workforce accommodation.

Meanwhile, lenders remain supportive, according to KEFI, as discussions continue over development sequencing and associated funding drawdowns. The company is also prioritising experienced local firms for field work.

06

Financing and regulatory timing

Signal 02Profitability, Capital and the Financial Gap

Europe · Strategic Minerals · Beowulf Trading Suspended Amid Funding Uncertainty

European mineral projectsCorporate financingAIM trading suspended

What happened

AIM suspended trading in Beowulf Mining's shares on October 12 at the company's request, pending clarification of its financial position. Its proposed strategic investment led by Bacchus Capital faces uncertainty following the expiry of the investment agreement on September 30.

According to the company, Sweden's investment screening authority requested a valid agreement to continue its review. Bacchus said it could not extend its commitments indefinitely and expected the investment would not proceed.

Meanwhile, Beowulf has limited cash and no definitive interim funding agreement. It is considering alternatives, including asset sales, and warned that failure to raise funds could lead to the appointment of administrators.

The Daily records verified changes. The Signals provide the classification map. The Weekly brings the developments together for the deeper system reading.

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